An APOBEC3 Mutational Signature in the Genomes of Human-Infecting Orthopoxviruses

The ongoing worldwide monkeypox outbreak is caused by viral lineages (globally referred to as hMPXV1) that are related to but distinct from clade IIb MPXV viruses transmitted within Nigeria. Analysis of the genetic differences has indicated that APOBEC-mediated editing might be responsible for the unexpectedly high number of mutations observed in hMPXV1 genomes. Here, using 1,624 publicly available hMPXV1 sequences, we analyzed the mutations that accrued between 2017 and the emergence of the current predominant variant (B.1), as well as those that that have been accumulating during the 2022 outbreak. We confirmed an overwhelming prevalence of C-to-T and G-to-A mutations, with a sequence context (59TC-39) consistent with the preferences of several human APOBEC3 enzymes. We also found that mutations preferentially occur in highly expressed viral genes, although no transcriptional asymmetry was observed. A comparison of the mutation spectrum and context was also performed against the human-specific variola virus (VARV) and the zoonotic cowpox virus (CPXV), as well as fowlpox virus (FWPV). The results indicated that in VARV genomes, C-to-T and G-to-A changes were more common than the opposite substitutions, although the effect was less marked than for hMPXV1. Conversely, no preference toward C-to-T and G-to-A changes was observed in CPXV and FWPV. Consistently, the sequence context of C-to-T changes confirmed a preference for a T in the 21 position for VARV, but not for CPXV or FWPV. Overall, our results strongly support the view that, irrespective of the transmission route, orthopoxviruses infecting humans are edited by the host APOBEC3 enzymes. IMPORTANCE Analysis of the viral lineages responsible for the 2022 monkeypox outbreak suggested that APOBEC enzymes are driving hMPXV1 evolution. Using 1,624 public sequences, we analyzed the mutations that accumulated between 2017 and the emergence of the predominant variant and those that characterize the last outbreak. We found that the mutation spectrum of hMPXV1 has been dominated by TC-to-TT and GA-to-AA changes, consistent with the editing activity of human APOBEC3 proteins. We also found that mutations preferentially affect highly expressed viral genes, possibly because transcription exposes single-stranded DNA (ssDNA), a target of APOBEC3 editing. Notably, analysis of the human-specific variola virus (VARV) and the zoonotic cowpox virus (CPXV) indicated that in VARV genomes, TC-to-TT and GA-to-AA changes are likewise extremely frequent. Conversely, no preference toward TC-to-TT and GA-to-AA changes is observed in CPXV. These results suggest that APOBEC3 proteins have an impact on the evolution of different human-infecting orthopoxviruses.