We study the effect of a "leaning against the wind" monetary policy on asset price bubbles in a learning-to-forecast experiment, where prices are driven by the expectations of market participants. We find that a strong interest rate response is successful in preventing or deflating large price bubbles, while a weak response is not. Giving information about the interest rate changes and communicating the goal of the policy increases coordination of expectations and has a stabilizing effect. When the steady-state fundamental price is unknown and the interest rate rule is based on a proxy instead, the policy is less effective.
机构:
HEC Paris Business Sch, Dept Finance & Econ, F-78351 Jouy En Josas, France
Univ Oxford Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, EnglandHEC Paris Business Sch, Dept Finance & Econ, F-78351 Jouy En Josas, France