Changing Climatic Conditions in Czechia Require Adaptation Measures in Agriculture

被引:5
|
作者
Mozny, Martin [1 ,2 ]
Hajkova, Lenka [1 ]
Vlach, Vojtech [1 ,3 ]
Ouskova, Veronika [1 ]
Musilova, Adela [1 ]
机构
[1] Czech Hydrometeorol Inst, Dept Biometeorol Applicat, Sabatce 17, Prague 14306, Czech Republic
[2] Czech Univ Life Sci Prague, Dept Agroecol & Crop Prod, Kamycka 129, Prague 16500, Czech Republic
[3] Charles Univ Prague, Dept Phys Geog & Geoecol, Albertov 6, Prague 12800, Czech Republic
关键词
agrometeorology; agroclimatic zones; effective temperature; drought; frost; precipitation; climate change; SHIFTS;
D O I
10.3390/cli11100210
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Changes in climatic conditions increase risks associated with crop production in certain regions. Early detection of these changes enables the implementation of suitable adaptation measures in the local area, thereby stabilising agricultural production. Our analysis shows a significant shift in climatic conditions in Czechia between 1961 and 2020. We examined the changes in observed temperature conditions, precipitation distribution, drought occurrences, and frost incidents at a high resolution (0.5 x 0.5 km). The outputs show a significant increase in air temperatures and drought occurrence. Temperature totals above 5 degrees C in 1991-2020 were 15% higher than in 1961-1990. Furthermore, the relative change in totals above 10 degrees C was 26% after 1991. Over the last 30 years, drought incidence was four times more frequent than in 1961-1990, particularly in spring. In contrast, no significant changes in the distribution of precipitation occurred, and there was a slight decrease in the probability of frost during the growing season. Ongoing climate change brings warmer and drier conditions to higher-altitude regions in Czechia. Assessing climatic conditions on a global scale is less precise for relatively small and topographically diverse countries like Czechia due to coarse resolution. Therefore, a high-resolution analysis is more appropriate for these countries.
引用
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页数:11
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