Predictive value of maternal serum placental growth factor levels for discordant fetal growth in twins: a retrospective cohort study

Background Accurate prenatal recognition of discordant fetal growth in twins is critical for deciding suitable management strategies. We explored the predictive value of the level of maternal second-trimester placental growth factor (PLGF) as a novel indicator of discordant fetal growth.Methods A total of 860 women pregnant with twins were enrolled, including 168 women with monochorionic twins (31 cases of discordant fetal growth and 137 without) and 692 with dichorionic twins (79 cases of discordant fetal growth and 613 without). Maternal second-trimester PLGF concentrations were measured via immunofluorescence.Results Maternal second-trimester PLGF levels were significantly lower in women pregnant with twins who subsequently developed discordant fetal growth than in those who did not (monochorionic twin pregnancy: P < 0.001; dichorionic twin pregnancy: P < 0.001). A 3-4 fold difference in median PLGF concentrations was detected between the two groups with both monochorionic and dichorionic twin pregnancies. Maternal second-trimester PLGF levels were significantly correlated with birth weight differences (monochorionic twin pregnancy: r = - 0.331, P < 0.001; dichorionic twin pregnancy: r = - 0.234, P < 0.001). A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive efficiency. In monochorionic twin pregnancies, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.751 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.649-0.852), and the cutoff value was 187.5 pg/mL with a sensitivity of 77.4% and specificity of 71.0%. In dichorionic twin pregnancies, the AUC was 0.716 (95% CI; 0.655-0.777), and the cutoff value was 252.5 pg/mL with a sensitivity of 65.1% and specificity of 69.6%. Based on the above cutoff values, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to calculate the odds ratios (OR) for the PLGF levels. After adjustment for potential confounding factors, low PLGF concentrations still significantly increased the risk of discordant fetal growth (monochorionic twin pregnancy: adjusted OR: 7.039, 95% CI: 2.798-17.710, P < 0.001; dichorionic twin pregnancy: adjusted OR: 4.279, 95% CI: 2.572-7.120, P < 0.001).Conclusions A low maternal second-trimester PLGF level is considered a remarkable risk factor and potential predictor of discordant fetal growth. This finding provides a complementary screening strategy for the prediction of discordant fetal growth and offers a unique perspective for the subsequent research in this field.