CARVING MODEL-FREE INFERENCE

被引:1
|
作者
Panigrahi, Snigdha [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Michigan, Dept Stat, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
来源
ANNALS OF STATISTICS | 2023年 / 51卷 / 06期
关键词
Carving; conditional inference; model-free; post-selection inference; randomization; selective inference; POST-SELECTION INFERENCE;
D O I
10.1214/23-AOS2318
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Complex studies involve many steps. Selecting promising findings based on pilot data is a first step. As more observations are collected, the investigator must decide how to combine the new data with the pilot data to construct valid selective inference. Carving, introduced by Fithian, Sun and Taylor (2014), enables the reuse of pilot data during selective inference and accounts for overoptimism from the selection process. However, currently, carving is only justified for parametric models such as the commonly used Gaussian model. In this paper, we develop the asymptotic theory to substantiate the use of carv-ing beyond Gaussian models. Our results indicate that carving produces valid and tight confidence intervals within a model-free setting, as demonstrated through simulated and real instances.
引用
收藏
页码:2318 / 2341
页数:24
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