Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence From the Cryptocurrency Market

被引:0
|
作者
Karaomer, Yunus [1 ]
Acaravci, Songul Kakilli [1 ]
机构
[1] Hatay Mustafa Kemal Univ, Fac Econ & Adm Sci, Dept Business Adm, Antakya, Turkiye
关键词
adaptive market hypothesis; cryptocurrency; efficient market hypothesis; TIME-SERIES; INEFFICIENCY; PREDICTABILITY; PRICES; FOLLOW;
D O I
10.22059/IJMS.2022.336833.674889
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
This study aimed to evaluate whether the efficiency of the cryptocurrency market varies over time according to the Adaptive Market Hypothesis. It investigated the varying cryptocurrency market efficiency by applying daily historical data to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Cardano. The conformity of cryptocurrencies to the normal distribution was examined by the Jarque-Bera test and their stationarity was tested by unit root tests. The cryptocurrency daily return predictability was measured using the Automatic Portmanteau and Wild Bootstrap Automatic Variance Ratio tests. Besides, the daily returns of cryptocurrencies were analyzed using the 500-days rolling window approach to capture the time-varying nature of the cryptocurrency market efficiency. Findings are consistent with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis and indicate that the cryptocurrency market efficiency varies over time. Besides, the cryptocurrency market efficiency varies and generally corresponds to positive or negative news/events.
引用
收藏
页码:125 / 138
页数:14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Are stock markets really efficient? Evidence of the adaptive market hypothesis
    Urquhart, Andrew
    McGroarty, Frank
    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2016, 47 : 39 - 49
  • [32] Does the Adaptive Market Hypothesis Reconcile the Behavioral Finance and the Efficient Market Hypothesis?
    Noreen, Umara
    Shafique, Attayah
    Ayub, Usman
    Saeed, Syed Kashif
    RISKS, 2022, 10 (09)
  • [33] On spillover effects between cryptocurrency-linked stocks and the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from Australia
    Frankovic, Jozo
    Liu, Bin
    Suardi, Sandy
    GLOBAL FINANCE JOURNAL, 2022, 54
  • [34] Behavior of calendar anomalies and the adaptive market hypothesis: evidence from the Baltic stock markets
    Alekneviciene, Vilija
    Klasauskaite, Vaida
    Alekneviciute, Egle
    JOURNAL OF BALTIC STUDIES, 2022, 53 (02) : 187 - 210
  • [35] Stock returns predictability and the adaptive market hypothesis in emerging markets: evidence from India
    Hiremath, Gourishankar S.
    Kumari, Jyoti
    SPRINGERPLUS, 2014, 3
  • [36] COVID-19 and cryptocurrency market: Evidence from quantile connectedness
    Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr
    Qureshi, Saba
    Rehman, Mobeen Ur
    Balli, Faruk
    APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2022, 54 (03) : 280 - 306
  • [37] Modeling cryptocurrency investment decision: evidence from Islamic emerging market
    Veerasingam, Nitiyatharishini
    Teoh, Ai Ping
    JOURNAL OF ISLAMIC MARKETING, 2023, 14 (07) : 1817 - 1835
  • [38] Investor sentiment and the holiday effect in the cryptocurrency market: evidence from China
    Zhang, Pengcheng
    Xu, Kunpeng
    Huang, Jian
    Qi, Jiayin
    FINANCIAL INNOVATION, 2024, 10 (01)
  • [39] Predictability of returns in the Colombian stock market and the adaptive market hypothesis
    Sierra Suarez, Katherine Julieth
    Duarte Duarte, Juan Benjamin
    Rueda Ortiz, Victor Alfonso
    ESTUDIOS GERENCIALES, 2015, 31 (137) : 411 - 418
  • [40] Calendar effects, market conditions and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from long-run U.S. data
    Urquhart, Andrew
    McGroarty, Frank
    INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2014, 35 : 154 - 166