影响中国能源消耗碳排放因素分析——基于LMDI分解模型

被引：8

作者：

张京玉

机构：

[1] 天津大学管理与经济学部

来源：

煤炭经济研究 | 2019年 / 39卷 / 11期

关键词：

能源消耗; 碳排放; LMDI模型; 驱动因素;

D O I：

10.13202/j.cnki.cer.2019.11.001

中图分类号：

F426.2 []; X24 [人类、资源、能源与环境的关系];

学科分类号：

1204 ;

摘要：

为有效应对气候变化,必须明确中国能源消耗造成碳排放的驱动因素,指出制定碳减排政策的关键点。一个国家的碳排放情况由该国的能源结构、能源强度、经济水平、人口规模等多种因素共同作用决定。通过LMDI因素分解模型,对我国2000—2015年碳排放情况进行分析,结果表明:我国能源消费碳排放总量呈增长趋势,其中碳排放正向驱动力是经济效应,其次是人口规模和能源结构效应,负向驱动力是技术效应。最后,根据上述结论对我国低碳经济发展提出了相应的政策与建议。

引用

页码：23 / 28

页数：6

共 21 条

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