QPSO-LSTM Based Electricity Sales Forecasting Model

被引:0
|
作者
Deng, Fangzhao [1 ]
Si, Jianan [1 ]
Deng, Zhenli [1 ]
Yu, Boning [1 ]
Li, Hujun [1 ]
Jin, Man [1 ]
Ni, Yuefan [2 ]
机构
[1] State Grid Henan Econ Res Inst, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China
[2] Southeast Univ, Sch Elect Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China
关键词
LSTM; PSO; QPSO; forecasting; deep learning;
D O I
10.1109/AEEES61147.2024.10544443
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Accurate power sales forecasting can help optimize the power supply structure, improve the reliability of power supply, and ensure the safe operation of the power system. Meanwhile, with the rapid development of artificial intelligence, and the research involves its research results are increasingly applied in the theory and practice of power system research. To increase the precision of electricity sales forecast, the article discusses an algorithm based on QPSO algorithm to optimize the LSTM neural network, which is aimed at combining the basic principles of LSTM neural network and QPSO algorithm, and optimizing the hyper-parameters of the LSTM and its network topology by using QPSO algorithm. Thus, a QPSO-LSTM power sales forecast model is built. The simulation results show that the prediction precision of the QPSO-LSTM model is better than that of LSTM and PSO-LSTM.
引用
收藏
页码:1347 / 1352
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Impact of Uncertainty in the Input Variables and Model Parameters on Predictions of a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Based Sales Forecasting Model
    Goel, Shakti
    Bajpai, Rahul
    MACHINE LEARNING AND KNOWLEDGE EXTRACTION, 2020, 2 (03): : 256 - 270
  • [32] Day-ahead Electricity Price Forecasting of Electricity Market With High Proportion of New Energy Based on LSTM-CSO Model
    Yin H.
    Ding W.
    Chen S.
    Zhang Z.
    Zeng C.
    Meng A.
    Dianwang Jishu/Power System Technology, 2022, 46 (02): : 472 - 480
  • [33] The Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Stacked CNN and LSTM
    Xie, Xiaolong
    Xu, Wei
    Tan, Hongzhi
    INTELLIGENCE SCIENCE AND BIG DATA ENGINEERING, 2018, 11266 : 216 - 230
  • [34] A deep LSTM network for the Spanish electricity consumption forecasting
    Torres, J. F.
    Martinez-Alvarez, F.
    Troncoso, A.
    NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS, 2022, 34 (13): : 10533 - 10545
  • [35] A deep LSTM network for the Spanish electricity consumption forecasting
    J. F. Torres
    F. Martínez-Álvarez
    A. Troncoso
    Neural Computing and Applications, 2022, 34 : 10533 - 10545
  • [36] Monthly runoff forecasting based on LSTM–ALO model
    Xiaohui Yuan
    Chen Chen
    Xiaohui Lei
    Yanbin Yuan
    Rana Muhammad Adnan
    Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2018, 32 : 2199 - 2212
  • [37] A COMPARISON OF ADAPTIVE STRUCTURAL FORECASTING METHODS FOR ELECTRICITY SALES
    ENGLE, RF
    BROWN, SJ
    STERN, G
    JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1988, 7 (03) : 149 - 172
  • [38] Comparison of Two Modified Deterministic LSTM Models with a Probabilistic LSTM Model for a Day-Ahead Forecasting of Electricity Demands
    Zhu, S.
    Yao, J.
    Djokic, S. Z.
    2023 IEEE BELGRADE POWERTECH, 2023,
  • [39] Construction of Electricity Load Forecasting Model Based on Electricity Data Analysis
    He, Yue
    Zhang, Zhi
    Chang, Yongjuan
    Lu, Yanyan
    Yin, Xiaoyu
    Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences, 2024, 9 (01)
  • [40] Intra-day Electricity Price Forecasting Based on a Time2Vec-LSTM Neural Network Model
    Cantillo-Luna, Sergio
    Moreno-Chuquen, Ricardo
    Sotelo, Jesus A. Lopez
    2023 IEEE COLOMBIAN CONFERENCE ON APPLICATIONS OF COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE, COLCACI, 2023,