Opinion convergence and management: Opinion dynamics in interactive group decision-making

被引:0
|
作者
Xu, Yuan [1 ]
Liu, Shifeng [1 ]
Cheng, T. C. E. [2 ]
Feng, Xue [1 ]
Wang, Jun [3 ]
Shang, Xiaopu [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
[2] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Logist & Maritime Studies, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[3] Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
关键词
Decision processes; Opinion convergence; Opinion dynamics; Group decision-making; CONSENSUS REACHING PROCESS; SOCIAL NETWORK; FEEDBACK MECHANISM; FAIRNESS CONCERN; MAXIMUM-RETURN; COST FEEDBACK; MINIMUM-COST; MODEL; CONFIDENCE; GAME;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.046
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Decision-making processes are significantly influenced by internal social network interactions and external information inputs. While previous research has highlighted the role of social networks in opinion evolution, the dynamics of information dissemination and its interaction with these networks are less understood. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Social-Information-Opinion Dynamic Supernetwork (SIO-DS) model, which integrates critical factors such as the impact of external information and opinion propagation, alongside the influence of internal social network structures and individual willingness to adjust opinions. This model takes into account the varied levels of confidence and individualized dynamic influence among decision makers, recognizing both their asymmetry and diversity. It performs opinion dynamics using bounded confidence models and parameters that govern information dissemination. We found that scale-free networks, which feature influential leaders, are more effective at reaching consensus compared to small-world networks, which are hindered by limited intergroup connections. The speed of information dissemination is critical; moderate speeds help in maintaining a stable consensus by balancing social influence, while very fast or slow speeds risk exacerbating polarization based on how social influence is managed. The SIO-DS model has broad implications for enhancing decisionmaking in corporate management by optimizing network structures, in public policy by managing public opinion, and in crisis management by developing effective communication strategies. Ultimately, this model not only deepens our understanding of opinion dynamics but also provides practical tools for improving decisionmaking quality and efficiency in various contexts.
引用
收藏
页码:938 / 951
页数:14
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