We provide evidence that the equity premium does not simply compensate investors for bearing market risk per se and contribute to an adequate modeling of the intertemporal risk-return relationship. Our model captures the relationship between conditional expected excess stock market returns, conditional market volatility, and conditional market illiquidity, while taking scheduled trading breaks into account. We distinguish between two distinct sources of market risk, namely continuous diffusive risk during trading hours and a discontinuous component representing random overnight price jumps. Utilizing high-frequency data, we estimate specific premia for trading and non-trading components in terms of conditional volatility as well as conditional illiquidity. Our findings reveal that the conditional equity premium primarily compensates for bearing risk and illiquidity during market closures. Conditional volatility and illiquidity during trading hours play only a minor role in explaining the equity premium and shaping the intertemporal risk-return relationship.
机构:
Rockefeller Univ, Cell Biol & Genet Lab, New York, NY 10021 USA
Scripps Res Inst, Dept Genet, La Jolla, CA 92037 USARockefeller Univ, Cell Biol & Genet Lab, New York, NY 10021 USA
机构:
Vanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USA
Katholieke Univ Leuven, Sch Psychol & Dev Context, Leuven, BelgiumVanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USA
Goethals, E.
Jaser, S.
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Vanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USAVanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USA
Jaser, S.
Streisand, R.
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Childrens Natl Hosp, Ctr Translat Res, Washington, DC USA
George Washington Univ, Sch Med, Washington, DC USAVanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USA
Streisand, R.
Datye, K.
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Vanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USAVanderbilt Univ, Med Ctr, Ian M Burr Div Pediat Endocrinol & Diabet, Nashville, TN USA