Data-driven deep learning model for short-term wind power prediction assisted with WGAN-GP data preprocessing

被引:0
|
作者
Wang, Wei [1 ]
Yang, Jian [1 ]
Li, Yihuan [1 ]
Ren, Guorui [1 ]
Li, Kang [2 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Control & Comp Engn, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Leeds, Sch Elect & Elect Engn, Leeds LS2 9JT, England
关键词
Wind power prediction; Deep learning; Generative adversarial network; Sequence decomposition; reconstruction; Transformer; ALGORITHM;
D O I
10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127068
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Accurate data-driven wind power prediction plays an increasingly key role in ensuring the stable operation of wind farms (WFs). However, the historical data of WFs are often limited and noisy, which can significantly impact prediction performance. To ensure the accurate wind power prediction, this paper presents a novel phased model that includes sequence preprocessing, sequence decomposition-reconstruction, and hybrid prediction model. The purpose of sequence preprocessing is to enhance the quality of historical data by combining random sample consensus and isolation forest algorithms for noise screening and a missing value imputation method considering the randomness of the generator in Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) model is proposed. To reduce the complexity of the sequence and increase the computational speed, a novel combination method of improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) and sample entropy (SE) is proposed, resulting in a high-frequency subsequence and a low-frequency subsequence. Based on temporal convolutional network (TCN), a novel hybrid deep learning model is proposed to handle complex time series. By combining TCN with transformer (TR) or bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU), the models become more suitable for wind power prediction, and they are employed for different subsequences considering the frequency characteristics. The proposed framework is validated in comparison with 18 other models, the results confirm the efficacy and superiority of the proposed framework, achieving up to 73.50% prediction error (RMSE) reduction.
引用
收藏
页数:20
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Efficient and data-driven prediction of water breakthrough in subsurface systems using deep long short-term memory machine learning
    Tao Bai
    Pejman Tahmasebi
    Computational Geosciences, 2021, 25 : 285 - 297
  • [32] Recent advances in data-driven prediction for wind power
    Liu, Yaxin
    Wang, Yunjing
    Wang, Qingtian
    Zhang, Kegong
    Qiang, Weiwei
    Wen, Qiuzi Han
    FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH, 2023, 11
  • [33] A Deep Learning Framework for Day Ahead Wind Power Short-Term Prediction
    Xu, Peihua
    Zhang, Maoyuan
    Chen, Zhenhong
    Wang, Biqiang
    Cheng, Chi
    Liu, Renfeng
    APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL, 2023, 13 (06):
  • [34] Efficient and data-driven prediction of water breakthrough in subsurface systems using deep long short-term memory machine learning
    Bai, Tao
    Tahmasebi, Pejman
    COMPUTATIONAL GEOSCIENCES, 2021, 25 (01) : 285 - 297
  • [35] Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Data-Driven Model
    Zhang, Su-qi
    Lin, Kuo-Ping
    MATHEMATICS, 2020, 8 (02)
  • [36] Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Data Preprocessing and Improved Hybrid Prediction Network
    Chen, Gonggui
    Li, Lijun
    Qin, Feng
    2020 CHINESE AUTOMATION CONGRESS (CAC 2020), 2020, : 734 - 738
  • [37] LSTM Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on Data Preprocessing and Variational Modal Decomposition for Soft Sensors
    Lei, Peng
    Ma, Fanglan
    Zhu, Changsheng
    Li, Tianyu
    SENSORS, 2024, 24 (08)
  • [38] Ultra-short-term Prediction of Small-sample Photovoltaic Power Based on WGAN-GP and BiLSTM-NGO
    Huang, Liwen
    Tang, Lan
    Wang, Chenglei
    Chen, Yun
    2024 IEEE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POWER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, ICPST 2024, 2024, : 1587 - 1593
  • [39] Data-driven models for short-term thermal behaviour prediction in real buildings
    Ferracuti, Francesco
    Fonti, Alessandro
    Ciabattoni, Lucio
    Pizzuti, Stefano
    Arteconi, Alessia
    Helsen, Lieve
    Comodi, Gabriele
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 204 : 1375 - 1387
  • [40] Data-driven deep learning model of shield vertical attitude prediction
    Wang S.
    Wang L.
    Pan Q.
    Zhongnan Daxue Xuebao (Ziran Kexue Ban)/Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology), 2024, 55 (02): : 485 - 499