Disentangling the Nexus of Nuclear Weapons and Climate Change-A Research Agenda

被引:0
|
作者
Egeland, Kjolv [1 ]
机构
[1] NORSAR, Kjeller, Norway
基金
欧洲研究理事会;
关键词
POWER; POLITICS; BUTTER; GUNS; NONPROLIFERATION; COUNTERFORCE; DETERRENCE; MILITARY; PROMISE; TREATY;
D O I
10.1093/isr/viaf003
中图分类号
D81 [国际关系];
学科分类号
030207 ;
摘要
Global warming and nuclear war are frequently described as the world's greatest threats. Both challenges could be understood as expressions of modern science and technology, and both present tough collective action problems. They are also mutually entangled. Yet students of security have still to systematically unpack the relationship between climate change and the politics of nuclear weapons. In this article, I critically review the nascent literature on the climate-nuclear nexus and set out avenues for future research. I find that the existing literature has focused disproportionately on immediate managerial challenges such as the likely inundation of current nuclear weapons bases, neglecting the potential consequences of more profound, crisis-induced global transformations. Students of nuclear arms control, deterrence, and disarmament should interrogate the assumption that the basic political and institutional structures that condition policy outcomes today will continue to exist indefinitely. El calentamiento global y la omnipresente posibilidad de una escalada nuclear se describen, con frecuencia, como las mayores amenazas para el mundo. Ambos desaf & iacute;os podr & iacute;an entenderse como expresiones de la ciencia y la tecnolog & iacute;a modernas, y ambos plantean dif & iacute;ciles problemas de acci & oacute;n colectiva. Tambi & eacute;n se encuentran mutuamente entrelazados. Sin embargo, los acad & eacute;micos del campo de la seguridad todav & iacute;a tienen que lograr desentra & ntilde;ar de manera sistem & aacute;tica la relaci & oacute;n existente entre el cambio clim & aacute;tico y la pol & iacute;tica de las armas nucleares. En este art & iacute;culo, revisamos de manera cr & iacute;tica la literatura naciente que analiza el nexo existente entre el clima y lo nuclear y establecemos v & iacute;as para futuras investigaciones. Concluimos que la literatura existente se ha centrado de manera desproporcionada en los desaf & iacute;os inmediatos a nivel de gesti & oacute;n, como el probable desbordamiento de las bases de armas nucleares actuales, y ha descuidado las posibles consecuencias de transformaciones globales m & aacute;s profundas inducidas por crisis. Los acad & eacute;micos que estudian el control, la disuasi & oacute;n y el desarme de las armas nucleares deber & iacute;an cuestionar la suposici & oacute;n de que las estructuras pol & iacute;ticas e institucionales b & aacute;sicas, las cuales condicionan los resultados de las pol & iacute;ticas hoy en d & iacute;a, seguir & aacute;n existiendo indefinidamente. Le r & eacute;chauffement climatique et la possibilit & eacute; d'une escalade nucl & eacute;aire, qui n'a jamais disparu, sont souvent d & eacute;crits comme les plus grandes menaces qu'il y ait pour le monde. Les deux d & eacute;fis peuvent s'appr & eacute;hender telles des expressions de la science et de la technologie modernes, et tous deux pr & eacute;sentent d'& eacute;pineux probl & egrave;mes pour l'action collective. En outre, ils s'enchev & ecirc;trent. Pourtant, les & eacute;tudiants en s & eacute;curit & eacute; doivent encore d & eacute;cortiquer syst & eacute;matiquement la relation entre changement climatique et politique des armes nucl & eacute;aires. Dans cet article, j'examine de fa & ccedil;on critique la litt & eacute;rature & eacute;mergente sur les liens entre climat et arme nucl & eacute;aire, avant de d & eacute;finir de futures pistes de recherche. Je remarque que la litt & eacute;rature existante s'est concentr & eacute;e de fa & ccedil;on disproportionn & eacute;e sur les d & eacute;fis imm & eacute;diats de gestion, comme la probabilit & eacute; d'inondation des bases militaires stockant actuellement des armes nucl & eacute;aires, en omettant les cons & eacute;quences potentielles de transformations mondiales plus profondes, g & eacute;n & eacute;r & eacute;es par une crise. Les personnes & eacute;tudiant le contr & ocirc;le des armes nucl & eacute;aires, la dissuasion et le d & eacute;sarmement doivent remettre en question l'hypoth & egrave;se selon laquelle les structures politiques et institutionnelles de base qui conditionnent les issues politiques aujourd'hui ne dispara & icirc;tront jamais.
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页数:25
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