Multi-area short-term load forecasting based on spatiotemporal graph neural network

被引:0
|
作者
Lv, Yunlong [1 ]
Wang, Li [1 ]
Long, Dunhua [1 ]
Hu, Qin [1 ]
Hu, Ziyuan [1 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Univ, Xuefeng Mt Energy Equipment Safety Natl Observat &, Chongqing 400044, Peoples R China
关键词
Multi-area load forecasting; Spatial-temporal correlation; Attention mechanism; Graph convolutional networks;
D O I
10.1016/j.engappai.2024.109398
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Short term power load forecasting can accurately evaluate the overall power load changes and provide accurate reference for power system operation decision-making. To address the limitations of traditional load forecasting methods, which are unable to capture spatial correlations and simultaneously predict load changes in multiple areas, this paper proposes a load forecasting model based on the spatiotemporal attention convolutional mechanism. The proposed model is composed of two key components: a spatiotemporal attention module and a spatiotemporal convolution module. First, the dynamic spatiotemporal correlations between different electricity load areas are captured and analyzed by using the spatiotemporal attention mechanism. Secondly, the spatial pattern and temporal features of the load data sequence are effectively obtained by spatiotemporal convolutional layers. Finally, this paper verifies the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method through a real electricity consumption load dataset. The experimental results demonstrate that, in comparison to various benchmark prediction methods, the proposed method can fully explore and utilize the spatiotemporal correlation between different electricity load areas, thereby improving the accuracy of load prediction.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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