Application of grey models to traffic flow prediction at non-detector intersections

被引:0
|
作者
Sun, Yan [1 ]
Chen, Senfa [1 ]
Zhou, Zhenguo [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst. of Syst. Eng., Coll. of Econ. and Mgmt., Southeast Univ., Nanjing 210096, China
关键词
Forecasting - Intersections - Mathematical models;
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暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Conventional prediction methods require large number of samples while traffic flow data at non-detector intersections is very limited. To solve this problem a new self-adapting GM (1,1) model to predict traffic flow at non-detector intersections using the grey theory is proposed. The practical implementation of the new model through calculating program compiled was accomplished by a case study in Changshu, Jiangsu province. Results show that self-adapting GM (1,1) can achieve much better prediction accuracy than that of total data GM (1,1).
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页码:256 / 258
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