Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

被引:0
|
作者
Simsek, Ahmed Ihsan [1 ]
Koc, Erdinc [2 ]
Tasdemir, Beste Desticioglu [3 ]
Aksoz, Ahmet [4 ]
Turkoglu, Muammer [5 ]
Sengur, Abdulkadir [6 ]
机构
[1] Firat Univ, Fac Econ & Adm Sci, TR-23119 Elazig, Turkiye
[2] Malatya Turgut Ozal Univ, Dept Management Informat Syst, TR-44210 Battalgazi, Turkiye
[3] Natl Def Univ, Alparslan Def Sci Inst, Dept Operat Res, TR-34334 Malatya, Turkiye
[4] Cumhuriyet Univ, Dept Elect & Elect Engn, TR-58140 Sivas, Turkiye
[5] Samsun Univ, Dept Software Engn, TR-55000 Samsun, Turkiye
[6] Firat Univ, Fac Technol, Dept Elect & Elect Engn, TR-23119 Elazig, Turkiye
来源
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL | 2024年 / 14卷 / 23期
关键词
electric vehicles; forecasting; deep learning; LSTM; CNN; SALES;
D O I
10.3390/app142310974
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
The increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) requires accurate forecasting to support strategic decisions by manufacturers, policymakers, investors, and infrastructure developers. As EV adoption accelerates due to environmental concerns and technological advances, understanding and predicting this demand becomes critical. In light of these considerations, this study presents an innovative methodology for forecasting EV demand. This model, called EVs-PredNet, is developed using deep learning methods such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks). The model comprises convolutional, activation function, max pooling, LSTM, and dense layers. Experimental research has investigated four different categories of electric vehicles: battery electric vehicles (BEV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), and all electric vehicles (ALL). Performance measures were calculated after conducting experimental studies to assess the model's ability to predict electric vehicle demand. When the performance measures (mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean squared error, R-Squared) of EVs-PredNet and machine learning regression methods are compared, the proposed model is more effective than the other forecasting methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting the electric vehicle demand. This model is considered to have significant application potential in assessing the adoption and demand of electric vehicles. This study aims to improve the reliability of forecasting future demand in the electric vehicle market and to develop relevant approaches.
引用
收藏
页数:25
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