Research on dwell time prediction for dedicated bus priority

The road travel time difference between dedicated bus and social vehicle is mainly because the dwell time of dedicated bus, so the dwell time prediction has become the key to coordinate the relationship between them. This paper chooses time interval of fore-and-aft buses arriving at the bus station, and taking into account three arrival situations. Selected the optimal regression model from multiple regression analysis models by Pearson correlation, and then according to the selected optimal regression model to predict the dwell time of dedicated bus. According to the relationship between the real-time data and the predicted value, this paper use Monte Carlo algorithm and k-means algorithm to determine dynamic optimization strategy. Finally, accuracy and practicability of the method are verified by simulation. © 2018 Indian Pulp and Paper Technical Association. All Rights Reserved.