Hybrid WARIMA-WANN algorithm for data prediction in bridge health monitoring system

Application of data-driven algorithm to model and predict the future trend of the structural health monitoring (SHM) data serves as important references for the future safety evaluation and decision-making of the bridges. An innovative hybrid WARIMA-WANN algorithm combining the Wavelet model, the autoregressive moving average (ARIMA) model and the artificial neural network (ANN) model is proposed to predict massive monitoring data in the bridge SHM system. The WPT serves as the decomposition function for the linear and nonlinear components of the hybrid model. The separated linear/nonlinear components are individually predicted with the ARIMA/ ANN models and then combined to obtain the prediction values of the future data. The hybrid method is applied to predict the deflection values of a single-tower cable-stayed bridge. Multiple parameters in individual models are discussed and selected to increase the credibility of the prediction results for the example bridge. The results show that the proposed hybrid algorithm successfully captures the linear and nonlinear coupling relationships inside the SHM data from the frequency perspective of view and shows the best prediction performance when compared with the other four existing models. Different prediction steps obviously influence prediction performance due to the periodic nature of the bridge SHM data.