Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction

被引:5
|
作者
Zhang, Xiaoyu [1 ]
Li, Yushuai [2 ]
Li, Tianyi [3 ]
Gui, Yonghao [4 ]
Sun, Qiuye [1 ]
Gao, David Wenzhong [5 ]
机构
[1] Northeastern Univ, Sch Informat Sci & Engn, Shenyang 110004, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Oslo, Dept Informat, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
[3] Aalborg Univ, Dept Comp Sci, DK-9220 Aalborg, Denmark
[4] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Electrificat & Energy Infrastructures Div, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA
[5] Univ Denver, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Denver, CO 80208 USA
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
Predictive models; Power generation; Data models; Image restoration; Generative adversarial networks; Convolutional neural networks; Feature extraction; Photovoltaic power prediction; digital twin; hybrid prediction; data recovery;
D O I
10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.
引用
收藏
页码:1472 / 1483
页数:12
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