An Immense Approach of High Order Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting of Household Consumption Expenditures with High Precision

被引:0
|
作者
Burney, Syed Muhammad Aqil [1 ,2 ]
Khan, Muhammad Shahbaz [3 ]
Alim, Affan [4 ]
Efendi, Riswan [5 ]
机构
[1] Inst Business Management, Coll Comp Sci & Informat Syst, Karachi, Pakistan
[2] Univ Karachi, Dept Comp Sci, Karachi, Pakistan
[3] Karachi Inst Econ & Technol, Coll Humanities & Sci, Karachi, Pakistan
[4] IQRA Univ, Comp Sci Dept, Karachi, Pakistan
[5] UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Fac Sci & Technol, Riau, Indonesia
关键词
APER; fuzzy numbers; fuzzy relationship; fuzzy sets; fuzzy time series; second-order fuzzy sets; soft computing; ENROLLMENTS; MODEL;
D O I
10.2478/acss-2024-0001
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
Fuzzy Time Series (Fts) models are experiencing an increase in popularity due to their effectiveness in forecasting and modelling diverse and intricate time series data sets. Essentially these models use membership functions and fuzzy logic relation functions to produce predicted outputs through a defuzzification process. In this study, we suggested using a Second Order Type-1 fts (S-O T-1 F-T-S) forecasting model for the analysis of time series data sets. The suggested method was compared to the state-of-theart First Order Type 1 Fts method. The suggested approach demonstrated superior performance compared to the First Order Type 1 Fts method when applied to household consumption data from the Magene Regency in Indonesia, as measured by absolute percentage error rate (APER).
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 7
页数:7
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