Trump's fake news and stock market returns

被引:0
|
作者
Siganos, Antonios [1 ]
机构
[1] Edinburgh Napier Univ, Business Sch, Accounting & Finance Dept, Edinburgh, Scotland
来源
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE | 2025年 / 31卷 / 04期
关键词
Politics; financial markets; fake news; stock market returns; Donald Trump; G10; G14; G18; D53; INVESTOR SENTIMENT; TWEETS;
D O I
10.1080/1351847X.2024.2395927
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We use a novel database that identifies allegedly Donald Trump's fake news during his presidency. We find that the number of daily fake news is positively related to contemporaneous US stock market returns. Fake news is typically positively biased in our context, increasing stock returns in the short term. We invalidate alternate explanations of the main relation, such as the notion that newly arrived information drives the relation. The mechanism of the relationship is the source used and the reliability of the fake news. Fake news matters to the extent that participants believe it is true. This positive relation reverses over the following days, indicating some evidence of correction. Overall, we find that a politician's fake news influences financial markets temporarily.
引用
收藏
页码:508 / 522
页数:15
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