Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?

被引:0
|
作者
Blickle, Kristian [1 ]
Brunnermeier, Markus [2 ]
Luck, Stephan [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank New York, New York, NY 10045 USA
[2] Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ USA
来源
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES | 2024年 / 37卷 / 09期
关键词
G01; G21; N20; N24; GERMAN TWIN CRISIS; MARKET DISCIPLINE; DEPOSIT INSURANCE; FINANCIAL FRAGILITY; LIQUIDITY RISK; RUNS; PANICS; CONTAGION; DEPRESSION; DISTRESS;
D O I
10.1093/rfs/hhae020
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We study the run on the German banking system in 1931 to understand whether depositors anticipate which banks will fail in a major financial crisis. We find that deposits decline by around 20% during the run. There is an equal outflow of retail and nonfinancial wholesale deposits from both failing and surviving banks. In contrast, we find that interbank deposits almost exclusively decline for failing banks. Our evidence suggests that banks are better informed about which fellow banks will fail. In turn, banks being informed allows the interbank market to continue providing liquidity even during times of severe financial distress.
引用
收藏
页码:2685 / 2731
页数:47
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