Evaluating the efficacy of financial distress prediction models in Malaysian public listed companies

被引:0
|
作者
Nayan, Asmahani Binti [1 ]
Ilias, Mohd Rijal [2 ]
Ishak, Siti Shuhada [2 ]
Rahim, Amirah Hazwani Binti Abdul [1 ]
Morat, Berlian Nur [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Teknol MARA UiTM, Coll Comp Informat & Math, Kedah Branch, Sungai Petani Campus, Merbok, Kedah, Malaysia
[2] Univ Teknol MARA, Coll Comp Informat & Math, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
[3] Univ Teknol MARA, Acad Language Studies, Kedah Branch, Merbok, Kedah, Malaysia
关键词
Financial distress; PN17; Financial ratio; Grover model; Zmijerski model; Logistic regression; Accuracy; LOGIT;
D O I
10.21833/ijaas.2024.02.001
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
This research critically examines the precision of financial distress prediction models, with a particular focus on their applicability to Malaysian publicly listed companies under Practice Note 17 (PN17) from 2017 to 2021. Financial distress, defined as the imminent risk of bankruptcy evidenced by an inability to satisfy creditor demands, presents a significant challenge in corporate finance management. The study underscores the necessity of an efficient prediction model to strategize preemptive measures against financial crises. Unlike prior research, which predominantly compared prediction models without assessing their accuracy, this study incorporates an accuracy analysis to discern the most effective model. Utilizing the Grover and Zmijerski models, it assesses whether companies listed under PN17 are experiencing financial distress. A noteworthy finding is the substantial correlation between the return on assets (ROA) and the prediction of financial distress in these companies. Furthermore, the Grover model demonstrates a remarkable 100% accuracy rate, indicating its exceptional efficiency in forecasting financial distress. This research not only contributes to the existing body of knowledge on financial distress prediction but also offers practical insights for companies and stakeholders in the Malaysian financial market.
引用
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页码:1 / 7
页数:7
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