We analyse infectious disease case surveillance data to estimate COVID-19 spread and gain an understanding of the impact of introducing vaccines to counter the disease in Switzerland. The data used in this work is extensive and detailed and includes information on weekly number of cases and vaccination rates by age and region. Our approach takes into account waning immunity. The statistical analysis allows us to determine the effects of choosing alternative vaccination strategies. Our results indicate greater uptake of vaccine would have led to fewer cases with a particularly large effect on undervaccinated regions. An alternative distribution scheme not targeting specific age groups also leads to fewer cases overall but could lead to more cases among the elderly (a potentially vulnerable population) during the early stage of prophylaxis rollout.
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Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
He, Daihai
Ali, Sheikh Taslim
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Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Hong Kong Sci & Technol Pk, Lab Data Discovery Hlth, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Ali, Sheikh Taslim
Fan, Guihong
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Columbus State Univ, Columbus, GA USAHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Fan, Guihong
Gao, Daozhou
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Shanghai Normal Univ, Shanghai, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Gao, Daozhou
Song, Haitao
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Shanxi Univ, Taiyuan, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Song, Haitao
Lou, Yijun
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Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Lou, Yijun
Zhao, Shi
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Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Zhao, Shi
Cowling, Benjamin J.
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Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Hong Kong Sci & Technol Pk, Lab Data Discovery Hlth, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Polytech Univ, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USAIcahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USA
Moreland, Ashley
Gillezeau, Christina
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Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USAIcahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USA
Gillezeau, Christina
Alpert, Naomi
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Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USAIcahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USA
Alpert, Naomi
Taioli, Emanuela
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Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USA
Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Dept Thorac Surg, New York, NY 10029 USAIcahn Sch Med Mt Sinai, Inst Translat Epidemiol, New York, NY 10029 USA