Industrial Park low-carbon energy system planning framework: Heat pump based energy conjugation between industry and buildings

The accelerating urbanization, rapid industrial development, and excessive consumption of fossil fuels pose survival challenges such as energy depletion and environmental degradation for humanity. In the context of industrial park development, constructing a low-carbon energy system, increasing the proportion of renewable energy, enhancing energy-level matching, and utilizing heat pumps for deep waste heat recovery are effective approaches to reduce fossil energy consumption and alleviate environmental pressures. Addressing issues such as diverse thermal flows in industrial sites, complex electricity-heat-cooling energy demands, and unclear industrial-building energy coupling mechanisms, this paper proposes a two-stage planning framework, comprising the following five steps: (1) constructing a waste heat utilization system centered around heat pumps, (2) establishing a mechanism for matching heat sources, equipment, and thermal sinks, (3) establishing an energy conversion model and energy quality quantification system, (4) optimizing waste heat utilization path allocation, and (5) conducting a system energy flow analysis. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed system achieves optimized matching of multiple heat sources and sinks in industrial and building scenarios through thermal integration, meeting diverse energy demands in the park, including electricity, cooling, and multi-grade consumption decrease by 33% and 39% respectively, with a waste heat contribution rate of up to 26% and a renewable energy penetration rate of up to 25%, and a waste heat recovery system payback period of 6 years. By establishing an energy quality quantification system and conducting multi -objective optimization considering losses and economic costs, this paper provides Pareto frontier solutions, offering references for engineering proposals. The proposed networked waste heat recovery system is characterized by low energy consumption and high economic efficiency, effectively integrating the energy characteristics of industrial parks and demonstrating engineering applicability.