SAMSGL: Series-aligned multi-scale graph learning for spatiotemporal forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Zou, Xiaobei [1 ]
Xiong, Luolin [1 ]
Tang, Yang [1 ]
Kurths, Juergen [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] East China Univ Sci & Technol, Key Lab Smart Mfg Energy Chem Proc, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[2] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
[3] Humboldt Univ, Inst Phys, D-12489 Berlin, Germany
[4] Fudan Univ, Res Inst Intelligent Complex Syst, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
NETWORK;
D O I
10.1063/5.0211403
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
Spatiotemporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among nodes. Despite the significant strides made by graph-based networks in spatiotemporal forecasting, there remain two pivotal factors closely related to forecasting performance that need further consideration: time delays in propagation dynamics and multi-scale high-dimensional interactions. In this work, we present a Series-Aligned Multi-Scale Graph Learning (SAMSGL) framework, aiming to enhance forecasting performance. In order to handle time delays in spatial interactions, we propose a series-aligned graph convolution layer to facilitate the aggregation of non-delayed graph signals, thereby mitigating the influence of time delays for the improvement in accuracy. To understand global and local spatiotemporal interactions, we develop a spatiotemporal architecture via multi-scale graph learning, which encompasses two essential components: multi-scale graph structure learning and graph-fully connected (Graph-FC) blocks. The multi-scale graph structure learning includes a global graph structure to learn both delayed and non-delayed node embeddings, as well as a local one to learn node variations influenced by neighboring factors. The Graph-FC blocks synergistically fuse spatial and temporal information to boost prediction accuracy. To evaluate the performance of SAMSGL, we conduct experiments on meteorological and traffic forecasting datasets, which demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority.
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页数:14
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