Serum GM-CSF level is a predictor of treatment response to tocilizumab in rheumatoid arthritis patients: a prospective observational cohort study

Background The aim of this prospective observational cohort study was to unveil the predictors of treatment response to tocilizumab (TCZ) therapy in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients, in terms of clinical characteristics and serum proinflammatory cytokines, especially to explore the predictive value of granulocyte macrophage-colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF). Methods Active adult RA patients with inadequate response to MTX intending to receive TCZ therapy were recruited prospectively in the study. A total of 174 severe RA patients were included for the identification of the associations between treatment response and the following characteristic features: demographics, medications, disease activity, serum proinflammatory cytokines and so on. Results Disease duration (OR = 0.996), tender joint count (TJC)/68 (OR = 0.943), neutrophil ratio (W4/baseline) (OR = 0.224), the high level of GM-CSF > 5 ng/ml (OR = 0.414) at baseline were the independent adverse predictors of good response assessed by clinical disease activity index (CDAI) at week 24 (W24) for TCZ therapy in RA patients. Moreover, DAS28-ESR (OR = 2.951, P = 0.002) and the high level of GM-CSF > 10 ng/ml at baseline (OR = 5.419, P = 0.002) were independent predictors of poor response, but not the high level of GM-CSF > 5 ng/ml (OR = 2.713, P = 0.054). The patients in the high GM-CSF group had significantly higher DAS28-ESR and serum levels of cytokines (IL-17A, IL-1 beta, IL-6, TNF-alpha) at baseline, as well as significantly higher rate of non-good response (62.8% vs. 39.4%, P = 0.010) and poor response (27.9% vs. 9.1%, P = 0.004) than the low GM-CSF group at W24. In addition, poor responders had significantly higher levels of GM-CSF with concomitant increase in the serum levels of IL-17A and IL-1 beta at baseline than those in moderate and good response groups, while serum levels of IL-6 and TNF-alpha at baseline were not significantly different in three response groups. Conclusion The high levels of GM-CSF (> 5 ng/ml and > 10 ng/ml) at baseline were the independent predictors of non-good response and poor response to TCZ at W24 respectively. The high level of GM-CSF at baseline is a marker of high disease activity and a predictor of poor response to TCZ in severe RA patients, which may facilitate the development of individualized treatment strategies for refractory RA.