Prediction of endovascular leaks after thoracic endovascular aneurysm repair though machine learning applied to pre-procedural computed tomography angiographs

To predict endoleaks after thoracic endovascular aneurysm repair (TEVAR) we submitted patient characteristics and vessel features observed on pre- operative computed tomography angiography (CTA) to machine-learning. We evaluated 1-year follow-up CT scans (arterial and delayed phases) in patients who underwent TEVAR for the presence or absence of an endoleak. We evaluated the effect of machine learning of the patient age, sex, weight, and height, plus 22 vascular features on the ability to predict post-TEVAR endoleaks. The extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for ML system was trained on 14 patients with- and 131 without endoleaks. We calculated their importance by applying XGBoost to machine learning and compared our findings between with those of conventional vessel measurement-based methods such as the 22 vascular features by using the Pearson correlation coefficients. Pearson correlation coefficient and 95% confidence interval (CI) were r = 0.86 and 0.75 to 0.92 for the machine learning, r = - 0.44 and - 0.56 to - 0.29 for the vascular angle, and r = - 0.19 and - 0.34 to - 0.02 for the diameter between the subclavian artery and the aneurysm (Fig. 3a-c, all: p < 0.05). With machine-learning, the univariate analysis was significant higher compared with the vascular angle and in the diameter between the subclavian artery and the aneurysm such as the conventional methods (p < 0.05). To predict the risk for post-TEVAR endoleaks, machine learning was superior to the conventional vessel measurement method when factors such as patient characteristics, and vascular features (vessel length, diameter, and angle) were evaluated on pre-TEVAR thoracic CTA images.