A Markov-fuzzy Combination Model For Stock Market Forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Dao Xuan Ky [1 ]
Luc Tri Tuyen [2 ]
机构
[1] Dept Informat & Commun Ninh Thuan Prov, Nguyen Trai 17, Phan Rang Thap Cham 63, Vietnam
[2] Vietnam Acad Sci & Technol, Inst Informat Technol, Hoang Quoc Viet 18, Hanoi 10, Vietnam
关键词
imakov chain; fuzzy time series; stock market; forecasting; hidden markov model;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
This paper presents a simple combination of Markov model and fuzzy time series model (called MC-fuzzy) for forecasting stock market data. The fuzzy time series model is used to partition the dataspace into states and also solves the fuzzy data in stock index future price. The Markov model then is used to identify data patterns and forecast future states. The appropriate fuzzy rule then defuzzies the data for forecast value. Experimental results of the proposed model show that the performance is better than other forecasting models such as, ARIMA, artificial neural network (ANN), Hidden Markov Model (HMM) -based models and equivalent to HMM-Fuzzy models.
引用
收藏
页码:109 / 121
页数:13
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] Forecasting the turning time of stock market based on Markov-Fourier grey model
    Hsu, Yen-Tseng
    Liu, Ming-Chung
    Yeh, Jerome
    Hung, Hui-Fen
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2009, 36 (04) : 8597 - 8603
  • [12] Forecasting volatility of stock market using adaptive Fuzzy-GARCH model
    Hung, Jui-Chung
    ICCIT: 2009 FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER SCIENCES AND CONVERGENCE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2009, : 583 - 587
  • [13] Stock market forecasting by using a hybrid model of exponential fuzzy time series
    Talarposhti, Fatemeh Mirzaei
    Sadaei, Hossein Javedani
    Enayatifar, Rasul
    Guimardes, Frederico Gadelha
    Mahmud, Maqsood
    Eslami, Tayyebeh
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING, 2016, 70 : 79 - 98
  • [14] Stock Market Price Forecasting Using a Kernel Participatory Learning Fuzzy Model
    Vieira, R.
    Maciel, L.
    Ballini, R.
    Gomide, Fernando
    FUZZY INFORMATION PROCESSING, NAFIPS 2018, 2018, 831 : 361 - 373
  • [15] Novel Model For Stock Market Forecasting
    Li, Yanlong
    Wang, Fang
    Sun, Renbing
    Li, Rui
    2016 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON IMAGE AND SIGNAL PROCESSING, BIOMEDICAL ENGINEERING AND INFORMATICS (CISP-BMEI 2016), 2016, : 1995 - 1999
  • [16] A forecasting model for stock market diversity
    Audrino F.
    Fernholz R.
    Ferretti R.G.
    Annals of Finance, 2007, 3 (2) : 213 - 240
  • [17] Stock Market Prediction With Hidden Markov Model
    Farshchian, Maryam
    Jahan, Majid Vafaei
    SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON TECHNOLOGY, COMMUNICATION AND KNOWLEDGE (ICTCK 2015), 2015, : 473 - 477
  • [18] A HYBRID FORECASTING MODEL FOR STOCK MARKET PREDICTION
    Ince, Huseyin
    Trafalis, Theodore B.
    ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, 2017, 51 (03): : 263 - 280
  • [19] Application of fuzzy cognitive maps for stock market modeling and forecasting
    Froelich, Wojciech
    Wakuliez-Deja, Alicja
    NEW FRONTIERS IN APPLIED ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 2008, 5027 : 72 - 81
  • [20] Stock Market Prediction Using Hidden Markov Model
    Somani, Poonam
    Talele, Shreyas
    Sawant, Suraj
    2014 IEEE 7TH JOINT INTERNATIONAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CONFERENCE (ITAIC), 2014, : 89 - 92