Grey Forecasting Model to Forecast the Water Shortage Risk

被引：0
|
作者：
Meng, Fanyong [1 ]
Wu, Jisong [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
[2] Beihang Univ, China Recycle Econ Res Ctr, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
来源：
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS | 2014年 / 52卷 / 04期
关键词：
grey system; grey forecasting model; GM (1,1); water shortage risk; forecast;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号：
070104 ;
摘要：
Grey forecasting model has been developed by a new background value formula and boundary correction methods. The study indicates that grey forecasting model for evaluating water shortage risk during 2006-2011 in Beijing is more effective when compared with the traditional model. The water shortage risk in the next few years in Beijing is forecasted at medium risk by using the improved grey forecasting model. It means that the adoption of measures for effective risk management of water resources is an urgent task. Demand-oriented measures are proposed to solve the problem of water shortage risk in Beijing.
引用
收藏
页码：36 / 46
页数：11
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