A NOTE ON RANDOMIZATION AND SELECTION BIAS IN MAINTENANCE THERAPY CLINICAL-TRIALS

In this article we demonstrate that even in randomized controlled clinical trials, unobserved confounding variables can bias the outcome of a study. For the case of a two-phase maintenance therapy trial where patients who respond to treatment during the acute phase are then randomized to a maintenance therapy, we show explicitly the role that confounding may play in biasing the interpretation of the results of such a trial. We suggest an alternative design to deal with the problem of a selection effect for treatment responders in the acute phase of the trial by randomizing patients at the outset of the study to both an acute and maintenance therapy.