IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks

被引：0

作者：

O'Neill B.C. ^{[1
]}

Oppenheimer M. ^{[2
]}

Warren R. ^{[3
]}

Hallegatte S. ^{[4
]}

Kopp R.E. ^{[5
]}

Pörtner H.O. ^{[6
]}

Scholes R. ^{[7
]}

Birkmann J. ^{[8
]}

Foden W. ^{[9
]}

Licker R. ^{[2
]}

MacH K.J. ^{[10
]}

Marbaix P. ^{[11
]}

Mastrandrea M.D. ^{[10
]}

Price J. ^{[3
]}

Takahashi K. ^{[12
]}

Van Ypersele J.-P. ^{[11
]}

Yohe G. ^{[13
]}

机构：

[1] National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, 80305, CO

[2] Department of Geosciences and the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, 08544, NJ

[3] Tyndall Centre for Climate Change, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich

[4] Climate Change Group, World Bank, Washington, 20433, DC

[5] Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers Energy Institute and Institute of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, 08901, NJ

[6] Marine Biology/Ecological and Evolutionary Physiology, Alfred-Wegener-Institute, Bremerhaven

[7] University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

[8] Institute of Spatial and Regional Planning, University of Stuttgart, Stuttgart

[9] Department of Botany and Zoology, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch

[10] Carnegie Institution for Science, Department of Global Ecology, Stanford, 94305, CA

[11] Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve

[12] National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba

[13] Department of Economics, Wesleyan University, Middletown, 06459, CT

来源：

Nature Climate Change | 2017年 / 7卷 / 1期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/nclimate3179

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

The reasons for concern framework communicates scientific understanding about risks in relation to varying levels of climate change. The framework, now a cornerstone of the IPCC assessments, aggregates global risks into five categories as a function of global mean temperature change. We review the framework's conceptual basis and the risk judgments made in the most recent IPCC report, confirming those judgments in most cases in the light of more recent literature and identifying their limitations. We point to extensions of the framework that offer complementary climate change metrics to global mean temperature change and better account for possible changes in social and ecological system vulnerability. Further research should systematically evaluate risks under alternative scenarios of future climatic and societal conditions. © 2017 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：28 / 37

页数：9

共 50 条

[1] IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks
O'Neill, Brian C.
Oppenheimer, Michael
Warren, Rachel
Hallegatte, Stephane
Kopp, Robert E.
Poertner, Hans O.
Scholes, Robert
Birkmann, Joern
Foden, Wendy
Licker, Rachel
Mach, Katharine J.
Marbaix, Phillippe
Mastrandrea, Michael D.
Price, Jeff
Takahashi, Kiyoshi
van Ypersele, Jean-Pascal
Yohe, Gary
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2017, 7 (01) : 28 - 37
[2] Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "reasons for concern''
Smith, Joel B.
Schneider, Stephen H.
Oppenheimer, Michael
Yohe, Gary W.
Hare, William
Mastrandrea, Michael D.
Patwardhan, Anand
Burton, Ian
Corfee-Morlot, Jan
Magadza, Chris H. D.
Fuessel, Hans-Martin
Pittock, A. Barrie
Rahman, Atiq
Suarez, Avelino
van Ypersele, Jean-Pascal
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2009, 106 (11) : 4133 - 4137
[3] Climate change risks illustrated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "burning embers"
Marbaix, Philippe
Magnan, Alexandre K.
Muccione, Veruska
Thorne, Peter W.
Zommers, Zinta
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA, 2025, 17 (01) : 317 - 349
[4] "Reasons for concern" (about climate change) in the United States
Yohe, Gary
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2010, 99 (1-2) : 295 - 302
[5] Four reasons for concern about adaptation to climate change
Adger, W. Neil
Barnett, Jon
ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING A-ECONOMY AND SPACE, 2009, 41 (12): : 2800 - 2805
[6] IPCC: On climate change
Gerig, Christian
Roggo, Michel
DU-DIE ZEITSCHRIFT DER KULTUR, 2008, (784): : 22 - 39
[7] Climate change Managing risks of extreme weather: IPCC special report
Cooney, Catherine M.
SALUD PUBLICA DE MEXICO, 2012, 54 (03): : 352 - 354
[8] “Reasons for concern” (about climate change) in the United StatesA letter
Gary Yohe
Climatic Change, 2010, 99 : 295 - 302
[9] IPCC hardens stance on climate change
Pearce, Fred
NEW SCIENTIST, 2007, 196 (2631) : 13 - 13
[10] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Sproles, Claudene
GOVERNMENT INFORMATION QUARTERLY, 2009, 26 (02) : 428 - 429

← 1 2 3 4 5 →