Probability Relation;
Comparative Probability;
Standard Probability;
Epistemic Norm;
Fair Coin;
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摘要:
A possible event always seems to be more probable than an impossible event. Although this constraint, usually alluded to as regularity, is prima facie very attractive, it cannot hold for standard probabilities. Moreover, in a recent paper Timothy Williamson has challenged even the idea that regularity can be integrated into a comparative conception of probability by showing that the standard comparative axioms conflict with certain cases if regularity is assumed. In this note, we suggest that there is a natural weakening of the standard comparative axioms. It is shown that these axioms are consistent both with the regularity condition and with the essential feature of Williamson’s example.
机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Grp Log & Methodol Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USAUniv Calif Berkeley, Grp Log & Methodol Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Harrison-Trainor, Matthew
Holliday, Wesley H.
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机构:
Univ Calif Berkeley, Grp Log & Methodol Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Philosophy, Berkeley, CA 94720 USAUniv Calif Berkeley, Grp Log & Methodol Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
Holliday, Wesley H.
Icard, Thomas F., III
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机构:
Stanford Univ, Dept Philosophy, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Symbol Syst Program, Stanford, CA 94305 USAUniv Calif Berkeley, Grp Log & Methodol Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA