Bayesian procedures as a numerical tool for the estimation of an intertemporal discrete choice model

被引:0
|
作者
Peter Haan
Daniel Kemptner
Arne Uhlendorff
机构
[1] DIW,
[2] University of Mannheim,undefined
[3] IZA,undefined
来源
Empirical Economics | 2015年 / 49卷
关键词
Bayesian estimation; Discrete choice models; Intertemporal labor supply behavior; C11; C25; J22;
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中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Discrete choice models usually require a general specification of unobserved heterogeneity. In this paper, we apply Bayesian procedures as a numerical tool for the estimation of a female labor supply model based on a sample size that is typical for common household panels. We provide two important results for the practitioner: First, for a specification with a multivariate normal distribution for the unobserved heterogeneity, the Bayesian MCMC estimator yields almost identical results as a classical maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimator. Second, we show that when imposing distributional assumptions that are consistent with economic theory, e.g., log-normally distributed consumption preferences, the Bayesian method performs well and provides reasonable estimates, while the MSL estimator does not converge. These results indicate that Bayesian procedures can be a beneficial tool for the estimation of intertemporal discrete choice models.
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页码:1123 / 1141
页数:18
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