Identifying high snakebite risk area under climate change for community education and antivenom distribution

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作者
Masoud Yousefi
Saeed Hosseinian Yousefkhani
Marc Grünig
Anooshe Kafash
Mahdi Rajabizadeh
Eskandar Rastegar Pouyani
机构
[1] Damghan University,Department of Animal Science, School of Biology
[2] Leibniz Institute for the Analysis of Biodiversity Change,LIB, Museum Koenig, Bonn
[3] Technical University of Munich (TUM),Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, School of Life Sciences
[4] University of Tehran,Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Natural Resources
[5] Graduate University of Advanced Technology,Department of Biodiversity, Institute of Science and High Technology and Environmental Sciences
[6] AI.Nature Team,Department of Biology, Faculty of Science
[7] INRIA Startup Studio,undefined
[8] Hakim Sabzevari University,undefined
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摘要
Snakebite is one of the largest risks from wildlife, however little is known about venomous snake distribution, spatial variation in snakebite risk, potential changes in snakebite risk pattern due to climate change, and vulnerable human population. As a consequence, management and prevention of snakebite is hampered by this lack of information. Here we used habitat suitability modeling for 10 medically important venomous snakes to identify high snakebite risk area under climate change in Iran. We identified areas with high snakebite risk in Iran and showed that snakebite risk will increase in some parts of the country. Our results also revealed that mountainous areas (Zagros, Alborz, Kopet–Dagh mountains) will experience highest changes in species composition. We underline that in order to improve snakebite management, areas which were identified with high snakebite risk in Iran need to be prioritized for the distribution of antivenom medication and awareness rising programs among vulnerable human population.
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