Heavy tails;
high quantiles;
semi-parametric estimation;
bias reduction;
statistics of extremes;
Primary 62G32, 62E20;
Secondary 65C05;
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摘要:
InStatistics of Extremes we are mainly interested in the estimation of quantities related to extreme events. In many areas of application, like for instanceInsurance Mathematics, Finance andStatistical Quality Control, a typical requirement is to find a value, high enough, so that the chance of an exceedance of that value is small. We are then interested in the estimation of ahigh quantile Xp, a value which is overpassed with a small probabilityp. In this paper we deal with the semi-parametric estimation ofXp for heavy tails. Since the classical semi-parametric estimators exhibit a reasonably high bias for low thresholds, we shall deal with bias reduction techniques, trying to improve their performance.