An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
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作者:
Hiromi Seno
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机构:Tohoku University,Department of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Research Center for Pure and Applied Mathematics, Graduate School of Information Sciences
Hiromi Seno
机构:
[1] Tohoku University,Department of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Research Center for Pure and Applied Mathematics, Graduate School of Information Sciences
An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopulations: commuter and non-commuter, of which the commuter has two phases of the day-to-day activity: private and social. Further we take account of the combination of contact patterns in two phases, making use of mass-action and ratio-dependent types for the infection force. We investigate the dependence of the basic reproduction number on the commuter ratio and the daily expected duration at the social phase as essential factors characterizing the community structure, and show that the dependence is significantly affected by the combination of contact patterns, and that the difference in the commuter ratio could make the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease significantly different.
机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Lo, Hong K.
Watling, David P.
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Univ Leeds, Inst Transport Studies, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, EnglandHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Watling, David P.
Cantarella, Giulio E.
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机构:
Univ Salerno, Dept Civil Engn, Fisciano, ItalyHong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Department of Civil Engineering and Industrial Design, University of Liverpool, United KingdomDepartment of Civil Engineering and Industrial Design, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
Ye, Hongbo
Xiao, Feng
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School of Business Administration, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, ChinaDepartment of Civil Engineering and Industrial Design, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
Xiao, Feng
Yang, Hai
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机构:
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon,Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Civil Engineering and Industrial Design, University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
机构:
Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Business Adm, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R ChinaSouthwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Business Adm, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
Xiao, Feng
Yang, Hai
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机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaSouthwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Business Adm, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
Yang, Hai
Ye, Hongbo
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机构:
Univ Leeds, Inst Transport Studies, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, EnglandSouthwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Business Adm, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
机构:
Inner Mongolia Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Hohhot 010021, Peoples R ChinaInner Mongolia Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Hohhot 010021, Peoples R China
Guo, Ren-Yong
Yang, Hai
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机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaInner Mongolia Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Hohhot 010021, Peoples R China
Yang, Hai
Huang, Hai-Jun
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机构:
Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R ChinaInner Mongolia Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Hohhot 010021, Peoples R China
Huang, Hai-Jun
Tan, Zhijia
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机构:
Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Management, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R ChinaInner Mongolia Univ, Coll Comp Sci, Hohhot 010021, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Liverpool, Dept Civil Engn & Ind Design, Liverpool, Merseyside, EnglandUniv Liverpool, Dept Civil Engn & Ind Design, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
Ye, Hongbo
Xiao, Feng
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机构:
Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Business Adm, Chengdu, Peoples R ChinaUniv Liverpool, Dept Civil Engn & Ind Design, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
Xiao, Feng
Yang, Hai
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机构:
Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Kowloon, Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaUniv Liverpool, Dept Civil Engn & Ind Design, Liverpool, Merseyside, England