A reliable and competitive mathematical analysis of Ebola epidemic model

被引:0
|
作者
Muhammad Rafiq
Waheed Ahmad
Mujahid Abbas
Dumitru Baleanu
机构
[1] University of Central Punjab,Faculty of Engineering
[2] Government College University,Department of Mathematics
[3] Cankaya University,Department of Mathematics
[4] Institute of Space Sciences,Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital
[5] China Medical University,undefined
关键词
Ebola virus; Nonlinear model; Reproduction number ; Positivity; Steady-state; Stability; Reliable; Competitive; Numerical analysis;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The purpose of this article is to discuss the dynamics of the spread of Ebola virus disease (EVD), a kind of fever commonly known as Ebola hemorrhagic fever. It is rare but severe and is considered to be extremely dangerous. Ebola virus transmits to people through domestic and wild animals, called transmitting agents, and then spreads into the human population through close and direct contact among individuals. To study the dynamics and to illustrate the stability pattern of Ebola virus in human population, we have developed an SEIR type model consisting of coupled nonlinear differential equations. These equations provide a good tool to discuss the mode of impact of Ebola virus on the human population through domestic and wild animals. We first formulate the proposed model and obtain the value of threshold parameter R0\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$\mathcal{R}_{0}$\end{document} for the model. We then determine both the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE) and discuss the stability of the model. We show that both the equilibrium states are locally asymptotically stable. Employing Lyapunov functions theory, global stabilities at both the levels are carried out. We use the Runge–Kutta method of order 4 (RK4) and a non-standard finite difference (NSFD) scheme for the susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model. In contrast to RK4, which fails for large time step size, it is found that the NSFD scheme preserves the dynamics of the proposed model for any step size used. Numerical results along with the comparison, using different values of step size h, are provided.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A reliable and competitive mathematical analysis of Ebola epidemic model
    Rafiq, Muhammad
    Ahmad, Waheed
    Abbas, Mujahid
    Baleanu, Dumitru
    ADVANCES IN DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS, 2020, 2020 (01)
  • [2] A MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR EBOLA EPIDEMIC WITH SELF-PROTECTION MEASURES
    Berge, T.
    Chapwanya, M.
    Lubuma, J. M. -S.
    Terefe, Y. A.
    JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS, 2018, 26 (01) : 107 - 131
  • [3] Effect of quarantine on transmission dynamics of Ebola virus epidemic: a mathematical analysis
    Waheed Ahmad
    Mujahid Abbas
    The European Physical Journal Plus, 136
  • [4] Effect of quarantine on transmission dynamics of Ebola virus epidemic: a mathematical analysis
    Ahmad, Waheed
    Abbas, Mujahid
    EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL PLUS, 2021, 136 (04):
  • [5] Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic
    Chretien, Jean-Paul
    Riley, Steven
    George, Dylan B.
    ELIFE, 2015, 4
  • [6] Cooperative system analysis of the Ebola virus epidemic model
    Kabli, Karima
    El Moujaddid, Soumia
    Niri, Khadija
    Tridane, Abdessamad
    INFECTIOUS DISEASE MODELLING, 2018, 3 : 145 - 159
  • [7] Mathematical analysis for an evolutionary epidemic model
    Inaba, H
    MATHEMATICAL MODELS IN MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCE, 1998, : 213 - 236
  • [8] Optimal control strategies for the reliable and competitive mathematical analysis of Covid-19 pandemic model
    Butt, Azhar Iqbal Kashif
    Imran, Muhammad
    Chamaleen, D. B. D.
    Batool, Saira
    MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN THE APPLIED SCIENCES, 2023, 46 (02) : 1528 - 1555
  • [9] Ebola Prediction with Epidemic Model
    Bai, Xueying
    Song, Wenlong
    Chen, Jiahe
    2016 2ND IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER AND COMMUNICATIONS (ICCC), 2016, : 847 - 851
  • [10] Mathematical analysis to control the spread of Ebola virus epidemic through voluntary vaccination
    Waheed Ahmad
    Muhammad Rafiq
    Mujahid Abbas
    The European Physical Journal Plus, 135