Test of the EEPAS Forecasting Model on the Japan Earthquake Catalogue

被引:0
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作者
David A. Rhoades
Frank F. Evison
机构
[1] Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences,School of Earth Sciences
[2] Victoria University of Wellington,undefined
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关键词
Earthquake precursors; earthquake prediction; stochastic model; Japan;
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摘要
The EEPAS (“Every Earthquake a Precursor According to Scale”) model is a method of forecasting earthquakes based on the notion that the precursory scale increase (Ψ) phenomenon occurs at all scales in the seismogenic process. The rate density of future earthquake occurrence is computed directly from past earthquakes in the catalogue. The EEPAS model has previously been fitted to the New Zealand earthquake catalogue and successfully tested on the California catalogue.
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页码:1271 / 1290
页数:19
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