Glaciers dominate Eustatic sea-level rise in the 21st century

被引：441

作者：

Meier, Mark F.

Dyurgerov, Mark B.

Rick, Ursula K.

O'Neel, Shad

Pfeffer, W. Tad

Anderson, Robert S.

Anderson, Suzanne P.

Glazovsky, Andrey F.

机构：

[1] Univ Colorado, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[2] Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Quaternary Geol, SE-1061 Stockholm, Sweden

[3] Univ Colorado, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[4] Univ Alaska, Inst Geophys, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA

[5] Univ Colorado, Dept Geol Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[6] Univ Colorado, Dept Civil Environm & Architectural Engn, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[7] Univ Colorado, Dept Geog, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[8] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Geog, Moscow 119107, Russia

来源：

SCIENCE | 2007年 / 317卷 / 5841期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.1143906

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Ice loss to the sea currently accounts for virtually all of the sea-level rise that is not to ocean warming, and about 60% of the ice loss is from glaciers and ice caps rather than from two ice sheets. The contribution of these smaller glaciers has accelerated over the past decade, in part due to marked thinning and retreat of marine-terminating glaciers associated with a dynamic instability that is generally not considered in mass-balance and climate modeling. This acceleration of glacier melt may cause 0.1 to 0.25 meter of additional sea-level rise by 2100.

引用

页码：1064 / 1067

页数：4

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