The method of moments ratio estimator for the tail shape parameter

被引:26
|
作者
Danielsson, J
Jansen, DW
deVries, CG
机构
[1] UNIV ICELAND,DEPT ECON,IS-101 REYKJAVIK,ICELAND
[2] TEXAS A&M UNIV,DEPT ECON,COLLEGE STN,TX 77843
[3] TINBERGEN INST,3063 DM ROTTERDAM,NETHERLANDS
[4] ERASMUS UNIV ROTTERDAM,3063 DM ROTTERDAM,NETHERLANDS
关键词
Hill estimator; method of moments; bias;
D O I
10.1080/03610929608831727
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The so-called Hill estimator for the shape parameter of the tail distribution is known to be downwardly biased. The Hill estimator is a moment estimator, based on the first conditional moment of the highest logarithmically. transformed data. We propose a new estimator for the tail index based on the ratio of the second to the first conditional moment. This estimator has a smaller bias than the Hill estimator. We provide simulation results that demonstrate a sizable reduction in bias when or is large, while the MSE is moderated as well. The new estimator is applied to stock return data in order to resolve a long standing issue in economics.
引用
收藏
页码:711 / 720
页数:10
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