Forecasting methods for balancing energy market in Poland

被引：12

作者：

Poplawski, Tomasz ^{[1
]}

Dudek, Grzegorz ^{[1
]}

Lyp, Jacek ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Czestochowa Tech Univ, Inst Power Engn, PL-42200 Czestochowa, Poland

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS | 2015年 / 65卷

关键词：

Electricity demand forecasting; Balancing energy market; Coordination plans; NEURAL-NETWORKS; LOAD; DEMAND; SYSTEM; ELECTRICITY; INTELLIGENCE;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.09.029

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

In the paper the scope of research carried out for the Transmission System Operator of the Polish Power System PSE-Operator S.A. in order to make up forecasting tools supporting creation of coordination plans is described. The Transmission System Operator is obliged legally to make up such plans for traffic and maintenance of the transmission grid. The article describes in detail forecasting models examined for different time horizons, for which the coordination plans are made up. These models were designed for preparing the daily, monthly and annual coordination plans by the PSE-Operator S.A. and they are currently in the implementation phase. The model based on fuzzy estimators supporting daily coordination plans, standard load curve model supporting monthly coordination plans and hybrid model supporting annual coordination plans are presented. The models were verified using real data examples. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：94 / 101

页数：8

共 50 条

[1] Price Forecasting for the Balancing Energy Market Using Machine-Learning Regression
Lucas, Alexandre
Pegios, Konstantinos
Kotsakis, Evangelos
Clarke, Dan
ENERGIES, 2020, 13 (20)
[2] METHODS OF ECONOMIC FORECASTING IN POLAND
LESZ, M
REVUE DE L EST, 1973, 4 (01): : 5 - 26
[3] Examining Statistical Methods in Forecasting Financial Energy of Households in Poland and Taiwan
Korol, Tomasz
ENERGIES, 2021, 14 (07)
[4] Electricity Price Forecasting in the Irish Balancing Market
O'Connor, Ciaran
Collins, Joseph
Prestwich, Steven
Visentin, Andrea
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS, 2024, 54
[5] Market solution in ERCOT balancing energy market
Yu, J
Mickey, J
2002 IEEE POWER ENGINEERING SOCIETY SUMMER MEETING, VOLS 1-3, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS, 2002, : 1348 - 1353
[6] Price Forecasting in Energy Market
Bilan, Yuriy
Kozmenko, Serhiy
Plastun, Alex
ENERGIES, 2022, 15 (24)
[7] Forecasting Balancing Market Prices Using Hidden Markov Models
Dimoulkas, Ilias
Amelin, Mikael
Hesamzadeh, Mohammad Reza
2016 13TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM), 2016,
[8] Forecasting energy prices in a competitive market
PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., Valley Forge, United States
IEEE Comput Appl Power, 3 (40-45):
[9] Forecasting energy prices in a competitive market
Bastian, J
Zhu, JX
Banunarayanan, V
Mukerji, R
IEEE COMPUTER APPLICATIONS IN POWER, 1999, 12 (03): : 40 - 45
[10] Balancing energy deployment oscillation in ERCOT market
Johnson, L
Yu, J
Teng, S
Mickey, J
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2004 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ELECTRIC UTILITY DEREGULATION, RESTRUCTURING AND POWER TECHNOLOGIES, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2004, : 268 - 273

← 1 2 3 4 5 →