Big Risks in Small Groups: The Difference between Epidemiology and Counselling

被引:7
|
作者
Friedman, J. M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Dept Med Genet, Vancouver, BC, Canada
关键词
SEROTONIN-REUPTAKE INHIBITORS; MAJOR CONGENITAL-MALFORMATIONS; MATERNAL USE; ANTIEPILEPTIC DRUGS; SUBGROUP ANALYSES; BIRTH-DEFECTS; PREGNANCY; THALIDOMIDE; PAROXETINE; EXPOSURE;
D O I
10.1002/bdra.20606
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Congenital anomalies do not occur in all babies born after a teratogenic exposure. Whether a given exposure is teratogenic depends on the chemical nature and physical properties of the agent, the dose and route of exposure, when in pregnancy the exposure occurs, and genetic and other factors that affect susceptibility. Teratogenic birth defects are inherently multifactorial. Absolute risk, relative risk, and population attributable risk provide useful but different information regarding teratogenic effects. Statistical significance and clinical significance also are important considerations, but they may not be concordant. Demonstrating a teratogenic effect is easier if it is sought in a subgroup of patients in whom the effect is likely to be particularly prominent. The ability to detect a significant risk is, therefore, generally increased by subgroup analysis of epidemiology studies, but the greater the number of analyses performed, the higher the probability of finding associations that reach nominal statistical significance by chance alone. This problem is well recognized, but it is difficult to solve. The only compelling evidence for the reality of an association between maternal exposure to an agent during pregnancy and teratogenic effects in the children is replication of the findings in independent studies, but this is hard to obtain. As a consequence, there are very few exposures for which the available information is sufficient to make evidence-based recommendations regarding the clinical management of teratogenic risks. It is important to admit these limitations and to learn more about exposures that cause birth defects and how to prevent them. Birth Defects Research (Part A) 85:720-724, 2009. (C) 2009 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:720 / 724
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] BIG RISKS AND SMALL
    GOUDSMIT, SA
    BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS, 1961, 17 (09) : 393 - 393
  • [2] Epidemiology in the assessment of small risks
    Coggon, D
    PROCESS SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, 1995, 73 (B4) : S36 - S38
  • [3] Big risks on small projects
    Sabo, Werner
    Zahn, James K.
    Construction Specifier, 2003, 56 (06): : 22 - 23
  • [4] Small Change, Big Difference
    Muijs, Daniel
    EDUCATION SCIENCES, 2025, 15 (01):
  • [5] How big are the small genetic risks?
    Heid, I. M.
    Winkler, T. W.
    Grassmann, F.
    Weber, B. H. F.
    MEDIZINISCHE GENETIK, 2011, 23 (03): : 377 - 384
  • [6] Multiparameter optimization of pharmaceuticals: What big data can tell us about small groups that make a big difference?
    Dossetter, Alexander
    ABSTRACTS OF PAPERS OF THE AMERICAN CHEMICAL SOCIETY, 2015, 250
  • [7] The big decision and small difference.
    Liska, V
    EUROPE-REVUE LITTERAIRE MENSUELLE, 2006, (923) : 63 - 78
  • [8] Small change-Big Difference
    Lavy, Ilana
    Shriki, Atara
    MATHEMATICS ENTHUSIAST, 2009, 6 (03):
  • [9] A small class makes a big difference
    不详
    PSYCHOLOGIST, 2005, 18 (07) : 399 - 399
  • [10] Small Grants Make Big Difference
    Walsh, Susan
    AMERICAN SCIENTIST, 2017, 105 (02) : 126 - 126