Comparison of asymmetric stochastic volatility models under different correlation structures

被引:9
|
作者
Men, Zhongxian [1 ]
McLeish, Don [1 ]
Kolkiewicz, Adam W. [1 ]
Wirjanto, Tony S. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Waterloo, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Waterloo, ON, Canada
[2] Univ Waterloo, Sch Accounting & Finance, Waterloo, ON, Canada
关键词
Stochastic volatility; leverage effect; log transformation; Bayesian inference; SIMULATION; VARIANCE; LEVERAGE; TAILS;
D O I
10.1080/02664763.2016.1204596
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper conducts simulation-based comparison of several stochastic volatility models with leverage effects. Two new variants of asymmetric stochastic volatility models, which are subject to a logarithmic transformation on the squared asset returns, are proposed. The leverage effect is introduced into the model through correlation either between the innovations of the observation equation and the latent process, or between the logarithm of squared asset returns and the latent process. Suitable Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are developed for parameter estimation and model comparison. Simulation results show that our proposed formulation of the leverage effect and the accompanying inference methods give rise to reasonable parameter estimates. Applications to two data sets uncover a negative correlation (which can be interpreted as a leverage effect) between the observed returns and volatilities, and a negative correlation between the logarithm of squared returns and volatilities.
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页码:1350 / 1368
页数:19
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