Coherence and divergence of megatrends in science and engineering

被引:21
作者
Roco, MC [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Sci Fdn, Arlington, VA USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
science and engineering priorities; science management; nanotechnology; unifying science; converging technologies;
D O I
10.1023/A:1020157027792
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
Scientific discoveries and technological innovations are at the core of human endeavor, and it is estimated that their role will only increase in time. Such advancements evolve in coherence, with areas of confluence and temporary divergences, which bring synergism and that stimulate further developments following in average an exponential growth. Six increasingly interconnected megatrends are perceived as dominating the scene for the next decades: (a) information and computing, (b) nanoscale science and engineering (S&E), (c) biology and bio-environmental approaches, (d) medical sciences and enhancing human physical capabilities, (e) cognitive sciences and enhancing intellectual abilities, and (f) collective behavior and system approach. This paper presents a perspective on the process of identification, planning and program implementation of S&E megatrends, with illustration for the US research initiative on nanoscale science, engineering, and technology. The interplay between coherence and divergence, leading to unifying science and converging technologies, does not develop only among simultaneous scientific trends but also along time and across geopolitical boundaries. There is no single way of development of S&E, and here is the role of taking visionary measures. Societal implication scientists need to be involved from the conceptual phase of a program responding to a SE megatrend.
引用
收藏
页码:9 / 19
页数:11
相关论文
共 13 条
[1]  
BERGLAND R, 1985, FABRIC MIND
[2]  
GREENSPAN A, 1999, FEDERAL RESERVE CHAI
[3]   Nanomachines: A roadmap for realizing the vision [J].
Montemagno, CD .
JOURNAL OF NANOPARTICLE RESEARCH, 2001, 3 (01) :1-3
[4]  
*NSF, 2000, SCI ENG IND
[5]  
[NSTC Council NSaT], 2000, NAT NAN IN IN ITS IM
[6]  
Roco M., 2000, NANOTECHNOLOGY RES D
[7]  
Roco MC, 2001, SOCIETAL IMPLICATIONS OF NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY, P1
[8]   From vision to the implementation of the US National Nanotechnology Initiative [J].
Roco, MC .
JOURNAL OF NANOPARTICLE RESEARCH, 2001, 3 (01) :5-11
[9]   International strategy for nanotechnology research and development [J].
Roco, MC .
JOURNAL OF NANOPARTICLE RESEARCH, 2001, 3 (5-6) :353-360
[10]  
ROCO MC, 1999, SCI ENG INNOVATION W