Causal Relationships between Climate Indices and the Solar Constant over the Last 100 Years

被引：1

作者：

Skakun, A. A. ^{[1
]}

Volobuev, D. M. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Russian Acad Sci, Cent Pulkovo Astron Observ, St Petersburg 196140, Russia

来源：

GEOMAGNETISM AND AERONOMY | 2022年 / 62卷 / 08期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1134/S0016793222080175

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

Causal relationships between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO, NINO 3.4), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) climate indices over the past 120 years have been analyzed using the method of conditional dispersion (Cenys et al., 1991). First, the method was calibrated using the Ocean-Atmosphere conceptual model by adding TSI as an external forcing. The method was shown to be adequate and capable of assessing the effect of one time series to another even if the data contain noise. As a result, TSI was found to affect NINO 3.4 and PDO, but the direction of the relationship for NAO and TSI was not revealed.

引用

页码：1123 / 1127

页数：5

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