Why is There Low Morbidity and Mortality of COVID-19 in Africa?

被引：116

作者：

Njenga, M. Kariuki ^{[1
]}

Dawa, Jeanette ^{[1
,2
]}

Nanyingi, Mark ^{[2
,3
]}

Gachohi, John ^{[1
,4
]}

Ngere, Isaac ^{[1
]}

Letko, Michael ^{[5
]}

Otieno, C. F. ^{[2
]}

Gunn, Bronwyn M. ^{[5
]}

Osoro, Eric ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Washington State Univ, Global Hlth Program Kenya, POB 72938, Nairobi 00200, Kenya

[2] Univ Nairobi, Coll Hlth Sci, Nairobi, Kenya

[3] Univ Liverpool, Inst Global Hlth & Infect, Liverpool, Merseyside, England

[4] Jomo Kenyatta Univ Agr & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Nairobi, Kenya

[5] Washington State Univ, Paul G Allen Sch Global Anim Hlth, Pullma, WA USA

来源：

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE | 2020年 / 103卷 / 02期

关键词：

SARS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; TRANSMISSION; ASSOCIATION; PROTECTION; COCKTAIL;

D O I：

10.4269/ajtmh.20-0474

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

Three months since the detection of the first COVID-19 case in Africa, almost all countries of the continent continued to report lower morbidity and mortality than the global trend, including Europe and North America. We reviewed the merits of various hypotheses advanced to explain this phenomenon, including low seeding rate, effective mitigation measures, population that is more youthful, favorable weather, and possible prior exposure to a cross-reactive virus. Having a youthful population and favorable weather appears compelling, particularly their combined effect; however, progression of the pandemic in the region and globally may dispel these in the coming months.

引用

页码：564 / 569

页数：6

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