Fair weather voters: do Canadians stay at home when the weather is bad?

被引:4
|
作者
Stockemer, Daniel [1 ]
Wigginton, Michael [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
关键词
Precipitation; Temperature; Weather; Turnout; Canada; NATIONAL PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS; PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS; RATIONAL CHOICE; LEVEL RESEARCH; TURNOUT; RAIN; PARTICIPATION; METAANALYSIS; REPUBLICANS; FRANCE;
D O I
10.1007/s00484-018-1506-6
中图分类号
Q6 [生物物理学];
学科分类号
071011 ;
摘要
What is the relationship between precipitation and the temperature on turnout? Using data on the 2004, 2006, 2008, 2011, and 2015 Canadian federal elections, we try to answer this question. Through bivariate and multi-variate statistics, we find that each millimeter of precipitation decreases turnout by more than 0.1 percentage points. When it comes to the temperature, our results indicate that higher temperatures trigger higher turnout. However, we also find that these relationships are influenced by season and only apply to spring, summer, and fall elections. In the winter 2006 elections, the association was inversed; warmer temperatures in this election triggered lower turnout, in particular when it was combined with precipitation.
引用
收藏
页码:1027 / 1037
页数:11
相关论文
共 22 条
  • [1] Fair weather voters: do Canadians stay at home when the weather is bad?
    Daniel Stockemer
    Michael Wigginton
    International Journal of Biometeorology, 2018, 62 : 1027 - 1037
  • [2] Fair-Weather Voters: Personality and Vote Switching Intentions
    Pruysers, Scott
    Blais, Julie
    POLITICAL STUDIES REVIEW, 2024, 22 (03) : 506 - 521
  • [3] When the election rains out and how bad weather excludes marginal voters from turning out
    Damsbo-Svendsen, Soren
    Hansen, Kasper M.
    ELECTORAL STUDIES, 2023, 81
  • [4] When Disastrous Weather Hits Close to Home
    Oliver, Priscilla
    JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH, 2019, 82 (02) : 6 - 7
  • [5] American Weather When the Gun Violence Epidemic Hits Home
    Alvarado, Mary Margaret
    VIRGINIA QUARTERLY REVIEW, 2016, 92 (04) : 170 - 181
  • [6] Does the Weather Still Affect Me When I Shop at Home? The Impact of Weather on Online Shopping Behavior
    Liu, Hongde
    Wang, Jun
    Zhang, Ruilin
    Liu, Ou
    JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ELECTRONIC COMMERCE RESEARCH, 2024, 19 (03): : 2289 - 2311
  • [7] When and how do children solve the Weather Prediction Task?
    Bochud-Fragniere, Emilie
    Lavenex, Pierre
    Lavenex, Pamela Banta
    DEVELOPMENTAL PSYCHOBIOLOGY, 2023, 65 (06)
  • [8] When do extreme weather events generate attention to climate change?
    Sisco, Matthew R.
    Bosetti, Valentina
    Weber, Elke U.
    CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2017, 143 (1-2) : 227 - 241
  • [9] When do extreme weather events generate attention to climate change?
    Matthew R. Sisco
    Valentina Bosetti
    Elke U. Weber
    Climatic Change, 2017, 143 : 227 - 241
  • [10] Weather and COVID-19 Deaths During the Stay-at-Home Order in the United States
    Karimi, Seyed M.
    Majbouri, Mahdi
    DuPre, Natalie
    White, Kelsey B.
    Little, Bert B.
    McKinney, W. Paul
    JOURNAL OF OCCUPATIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE, 2021, 63 (06) : 462 - 468