Actuarial Model of the Implicit Pension Debt of China with the Stochastic Interest Rate

被引:0
|
作者
Jia, N. N. [1 ]
Yang, J. B. [1 ]
Yang, H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Harbin Engn Univ, Coll Sci, Harbin 150001, Peoples R China
关键词
stochastic interest rate; implicit pension debt; Monte Carlo simulation;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
In the global context of population aging, the problem of the implicit pension debt is gradually dominant in China. Firstly, based on the actuarial model of the implicit pension debt with the fixed interest rate, we establish the actuarial model of the implicit pension debt with the stochastic interest rate. Secondly, with the model, the expression of expectation is derived. Finally, Monte Carlo simulation is performed. The result provides a theoretical basis to estimate the exact size of implicit pension debt for Chinese government.
引用
收藏
页码:643 / 647
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Actuarial model and its application for implicit pension debt in China
    Wang, Lijian
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2016, 89 : 224 - 227
  • [2] Dual random model of implicit pension debt in social pension system in China
    Guo, YJ
    Dong, M
    Yang, HD
    Proceedings of the 2005 International Conference on Management Science & Engineering (12th), Vols 1- 3, 2005, : 2625 - 2630
  • [3] ACTUARIAL FUNCTIONS WITH THE STOCHASTIC INTEREST RATE
    Grigoriev, Yu. D.
    TOMSK STATE UNIVERSITY JOURNAL, 2006, (290): : 221 - +
  • [4] Actuarial Model of Risk in Heterogeneous Portfolio of Policies with Stochastic Interest Rate
    Lin Hui
    Zhou Yongyong
    RECENT ADVANCE IN STATISTICS APPLICATION AND RELATED AREAS, VOLS I AND II, 2009, : 1426 - 1433
  • [5] Actuarial model for urban public pension fund in China
    Zheng S.
    Liao P.
    Liao, Pu (liaopu0327@sina.com), 1600, Systems Engineering Society of China (37): : 2222 - 2230
  • [6] Actuarial pricing model of double-lives of reverse mortgage with the stochastic interest rate
    Jia, N. N.
    Chu, W. J.
    Li, Y.
    BIOTECHNOLOGY, AGRICULTURE, ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY, 2015, : 181 - 184
  • [7] Actuarial Pricing Models of Reverse Mortgage with the Stochastic Interest Rate
    Jia, N. N.
    Yang, H.
    Yang, J. B.
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2015 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ECONOMICS, SOCIAL SCIENCE, ARTS, EDUCATION AND MANAGEMENT ENGINEERING, 2015, 38 : 639 - 642
  • [8] Individual Account Pension Actuarial Model under Fixed Interest Rates
    Jia, NianNian
    Zhao, Xue
    Yang, Liu
    MECHATRONICS ENGINEERING, COMPUTING AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, 2014, 556-562 : 6556 - 6560
  • [9] A Computerized Forecast Model on Social Pension Insurance Implicit Debt
    Liu, Ke-Qiang
    ICCSIT 2010 - 3RD IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER SCIENCE AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, VOL 3, 2010, : 364 - 367
  • [10] Savings and Implicit Debt in Pension Systems
    Szuele, Borbala
    PUBLIC FINANCE QUARTERLY-HUNGARY, 2013, 58 (03): : 334 - 348