Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'

被引：5
|
作者：
Croushore, D [1 ]
机构：
[1] Fed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Dept Res, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA
来源：
JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS | 2002年 / 24卷 / 04期
基金：
英国经济与社会研究理事会;
关键词：
forecasting; data revisions; real-time data; forecast evaluation;
D O I：
10.1016/S0164-0704(02)00057-5
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
The paper by Fildes and Stekler provides an overview of empirical results in macroeconomic forecasting. They do not address three key issues: (1) the importance of data revisions and the use of real-time data; (2) the statistical significance of differences between forecasts; and (3) the role of macroeconomic theory in formulating and evaluating macroeconomic forecasts. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
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页码：483 / 489
页数：7
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