Factors associated with serum progesterone concentrations the day before cryopreserved embryo transfer in artificial cycles

Research question: What factors determine serum progesterone concentrations the day before cryopreserved embryo transfer in artificially prepared cycles? Design: Retrospective cohort study at a university-affiliated fertility centre including infertile women under 45 years old using own oocytes who underwent a total of 685 single cryopreserved blastocyst transfers under hormonal therapy. Determinants that affected live birth rate (LBR) were analysed using a multivariate logistic regression. Univariate analysis and multivariate linear regression were used to evaluate independent factors that affect serum progesterone concentrations. Results: Age (odds ratio [OR] 0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89-0.96), duration of oestradiol (OR 0.96; 95% CI 0.92-0.99), serum progesterone concentrations (OR 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.08) and patients who underwent preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies (PGT-A) (OR 2.17; 95% CI 1.55-3.03) were independently associated with LBR. After univariate analysis, determinants of progesterone concentrations were: age, weight, history of a previous cryopreserved embryo transfer with serum progesterone concentrations <10 ng/ml, and time of blood extraction. The multivariate linear regression showed that increasing age presented a positive correlation with progesterone concentrations (beta = 0.11; 95% CI 0.01-0.20). On the contrary, significant negative correlations with progesterone concentrations were shown for a previous history of serum progesterone value <10 ng/ml (beta = -3.13; 95% CI -4.45 to -1.81]), higher weight (beta = -0.05; 95% CI -0.08 to -0.01) and the time of blood sampling during the day (beta = -0.13; 95% CI -0.25 to -0.01). Conclusions: This study adds more evidence regarding the importance of serum progesterone concentrations before frozen embryo transfer (FET). It also showed that body weight, age, time of blood sampling and a history of low progesterone are determinants associated with progesterone concentrations before blastocyst FET.